Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yo Leven | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beira | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rodeo Star | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Welcome Back Babe | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Dantz | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toxic Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peek | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Island | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Celestial Moon | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The King Cheek | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundaeswithsandy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uninvited Guest | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sheepshead Bay S.) – Sheepshead Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bellezza (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Mehana (FR) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Bomb (SAF) | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatlovelookslike | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silvology | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amanda’s Folly | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Counter Move | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palace Boss | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vitalize | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Undisputed | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Have a Cigar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dominican Pirate | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mozambique | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Typhoon Fury | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Covee | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Java Buzz | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Life Story | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Maestro | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Transactional (GB) | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vinsanity | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I See You Lookin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Hand Rich | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Your Mission | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Silo Ridge | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Muazarah | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Carcone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Equus | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Rachel’s Rock | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Our Liberty Belle | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | I’m Buzzy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Shezanarcticqueen | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Willow Bend | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 8 | La Vita Sofia | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Snappin Buttons | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy’s Garden | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson’s Dixie | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Echo in Eternity | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Short Shift | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ariana Rye | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Firsttimeinforever | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Whirl | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Burgundy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tongue Twister | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bertrille | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trail of Gold | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spool | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galley Head | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Power and Glory | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roagna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bunny Honey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mendee | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luckforyou | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More for Sure (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pionus | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Delaware Devil | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paraiba Blue | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key Actress | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Consumer Sentiment | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Is Dandy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sota Summers | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Leslie’s Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.