Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chasten | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shred the Gnar | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Table Flirt | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flip Flops | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winfinity | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naked Eye | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talent Show | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra November | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Anonima | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Salted | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Contorted | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Defiant Lass | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crawford | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saucier | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lolo Le Plume | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stylish Lady | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Lightning | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raghba | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyous Song | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Endorse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tom Collins | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Some Performance | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vivaldi | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | World Beater | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Profound | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demetrius | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moon Channel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spill the Wine | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marina Gamba | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Mike | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Ambition | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Elko County | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kick It In | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | No Mo Moolah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beauty Reigns | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stable Currency | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wondrous | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bilyana | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Foie Gras | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mindy’s Union | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Time | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moochie Girl | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grade A | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Butterfly | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Marinera | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Edgewood S. Presented By Accenture) – Edgewood S. Presented By Accenture
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nitrogen | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vixen | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lush Lips (GB) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gowells Delight | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hideaway | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Will Then | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aterradora (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Admit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Alysheba S. Presented By Sentient Jet) – Alysheba S. Presented By Sentient Jet
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fierceness | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Most Wanted | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Locked | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hall of Fame | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katonah | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Is Uscar | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton La Troienne S.) – Fasig-tipton La Troienne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thorpedo Anna | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Sea | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Randomized | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dorth Vader | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Like a Girl | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taxed | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Literate | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Modesty S. Presented By Veritas Prime) – Modesty S. Presented By Veritas Prime
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saffron Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She Feels Pretty | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Segesta | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takemetothebeach | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gimme a Nother (SAF) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Rose | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waves of Mischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pin Up Betty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Eight Belles S. Presented By Sysco) – Eight Belles S. Presented By Sysco
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Verity | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Look Forward | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Memory | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Fire | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Impulse Buy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mendela | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Aliyah | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimchi Cat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evanescence | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Eclatant | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatintheliteral | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unchained Elaine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Unbridled Sidney S. Presented By Cygames) – Unbridled Sidney S. Presented By Cygames
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ag Bullet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Maxima | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epona’s Hope | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asternia | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gavea (GER) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cloudwalker | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Treat | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bling | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crown Imperial | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Longines Kentucky Oaks) – Longines Kentucky Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Good Cheer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Joking | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fondly | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Cara | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quickick | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quietside | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tenma | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anna’s Promise | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Early On | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Take Charge Milady | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballerina d’Oro | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bless the Broken | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drexel Hill | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Five G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Into Pleasure | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Resilience | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Not This Boy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Over and Ollie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Yellow Brick | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Again | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King Russell | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deer District | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lure Him In | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Winters Lion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lat Long | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chaching Chaching | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oraia | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Neige | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cue the Duckboats | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashin’ Diva | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speighter Woman | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heartbeat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Devastating | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Expecto Patronum | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agia Marina | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fallon | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tetiaroa | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Viper | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.