Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naptown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Salted Carmel | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primed to Go | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Charlie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blanches Mule | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fortheloveofrun | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rector | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King Mendelssohn | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crabcakes N Beer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joe the Jet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Birravino Blvd | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Born Charmer | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Be Hoppin | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Need a Miracle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheezahotmess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Izzy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Messy Lu | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maren Mayham | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Steam Knot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delayed | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Authenticated | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cundi | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spice Gal | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indy’s Universe | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Issa Vybe | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Baby | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dont Gotta Tell Me | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jam’s Paper Moon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Clare Court | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wine Snob | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stroke of Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Tigger | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mosler | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Sugar Boo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rascallion | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire At Midnight | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noel’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Gone Wild | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Freccia d’Argento | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coal Mine | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Exchange | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happybirthdaycorey | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Heidelberg | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Talia | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Haunted Room | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Genieinabridle | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She Is Wisky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bali Kuta | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bound by Destiny | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess’s Gypsy Girl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Donate Life | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Braquet | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lilly Lightning | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beachgrass | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catch the Kitten | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | At First Sight | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Onthisharvestmoon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gogo Chanel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majesty’s Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Neolithica | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stone Cold Kelly | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Dreams | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Found Grace | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cynthia Gail | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Complex | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khokela Miss | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oppose | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Derbyness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foggy Dew | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bill of Rights | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carvellian Quest | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In the Dance | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolice Vita | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bold Diversion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Notiptoni | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Serafina | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Adeline | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gottahoppertunity | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just My Type | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Grace | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riley’s Cry Baby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.