Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curvino | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Game | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Solo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Landing Craft | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Able Seaman | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady of Silence | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana Grace | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suitefourfourthree | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Look Back | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Fantastica | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss World Peace | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Starlet | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bertie’s Cause | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Backed by Gold | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Maybelenne | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Trafalgar Shore | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cankton’s Cowgirl | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Astrid | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Storming | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Shout It Out | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Pattern Bet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Edistrudis | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tell Me When | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Open Soul Autism | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Star Parking | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icy River | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collected Glory | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adiva | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Singing Emma | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | King Peanut | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pass Line | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Soulfire | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Worth Looking | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Western Command | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hello Hot Rod | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Husker Butch | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ryno Wrecker | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baseball Politics | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Run the Table | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spring Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pahoehoe d’Oro | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Electrifying Lady | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Braken Good | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktail Humor | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Liz | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Travels | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Marriage | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Stormin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Axton | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go West | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unpredictable Bay | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Born Flawless | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Man | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tim Tal | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Elusive d’Oro | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lend It Tewmey | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m an Oak | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Buck | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Lake Hamilton S.) – Lake Hamilton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Skelly | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ryvit | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raymond | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Pranks | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy American | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vino Vidi Vici | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vaden | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Audax Minor | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quarterly Report | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Whiskey | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Endue | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crabtree | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mandatory Mission | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kye | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Hit King Rose | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Street | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tarps Storm | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Southfork | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Blaze | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spicy Delight | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insightful Miss | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Breeze | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dealing Justice | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amy Z | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Music Mistress | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Hill | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doubledaddy Issues | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Itzel | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Bachelor S.) – Bachelor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kale’s Angel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Cowboy | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raise the Bar | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amor Patriae | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Max Got Excited | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Boat | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildncrazynight | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Putting Eagle | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Miles | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devlish Gal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ministry’s Destiny | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiamichi | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Melania T | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kava | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zettie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Hopeful | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moneta | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Intriguing Suspect | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kim’s Pull | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exquisite Candy | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | This Damsel Mayfly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Breeze | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hamazing Treasure | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.