Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 2, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kawazaki (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Rhythem On Stage 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Baldoro 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 American Empire 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Hudson Ridge 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Hula Candy 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Bruckner 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Where’s the Loot 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Supernal 2.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Devil Moon 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Jerry’s Spirit 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Took Charge 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Gypsy Tears 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Des Doigts 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Over Attracted 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gem Mine 4.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 She’s a Joker 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Unwritten Code 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 September Magic 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ivory Moon 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Giant Kid 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tapatia Mia 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Aguila Azul 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 My Love Caroline 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Bella Chavela 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Can You Dream 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Cara Rose 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Still Unwritten 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lino’s Angel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Regal Patriot 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bob’s Blue Moon 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 4 Jetovator 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 My Summer Dream 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 So I’m Told 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Don’t Swear Dave 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Inch 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 98 Del Mar Jerry 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tapatia Leah 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Forest Dazzle 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 C Plum Run 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 Coiffeur 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Bottom Dollar 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Approval Rating 2.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Parlay Bay 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Cote Blanc 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Reckless Ride 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 Club Stiletto 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Buds N Suds 3.50 1 2-1
14 14 Charmed Dream 5.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Nephele 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Rebelexis 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Jolie Candy 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Johann’s Candy 20.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Tenacious Candy 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Cooling Off 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 La Neto 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Almost Summer 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Onward and Upward 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Starship Sedona 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Penny Account 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 U Better B the Won 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Princesa Del Tigre 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Epione 5.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Cornelia Fort 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Nothing Is Forever 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Quantum Innergy 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shezmisbehaving 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Practical Dazzle 15.00 4 7-1
3 3 Wink and a Grin 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Thirst for Passion 30.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Ultimate Hy 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 J and M Express 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lady Monclaire 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Booster Club 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Leyas Candy 8.00 1 2-1
5 4 Man Child 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Grazen Sun 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Halo Rando 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Major Tom 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Chasin Munny 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 8 Rogue Son 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Otro Mas 30.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Haywood 12.00 5 9-1
10 9 Blame George 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 98 Wegonahavagoodtime 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.