Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gena B 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nacho Problem 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Kadabra 1.00 2 4-1
5 5 Always Ready 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Looks to Kill 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Charlie’s Express 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 No No Joe 1.60 1.5 3-1
6 6 Paxsational 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Dillinger 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Six Kings 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Enticing Prospect 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miles and Miles 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Go Irish 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Very Stormy 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fly’n Frisbee 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ari’s Magic 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tarpaulin 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prince of Truth 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Gimme Gimme 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Strand Road 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Mr. Mendelssohn 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Camm’ Duke 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Messi the Magician 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Accidental Bid 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Magic Beach 2.00 1 2-1
1A 6 Nine N Four 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Sittin Chilly 3.00 3 6-1
5 4 Man From Malta 10.00 3 6-1
2 1 Ridolfi 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Good Moments 4.50 SCRATCH
6 7 Swept 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 5 Cada Dia Mejor 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Willful Mama 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Currane 6.00 3 6-1
2 1 Starlight Dancer 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Houdini’s Bride 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Purest Performance 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sky Runner 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 3 Sassetti 10.00 8.3 16-1
3 2 Mommy’s Turn 4.50 8.3 16-1
5 5 Rad Llama 5.00 9 17-1
11 11 Backcheck 6.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Je T’adore 30.00 10.9 21-1
12 12 My Gorgeous 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Our Preferred Pal 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Patience N Grace 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Farm House 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Elusive Quality S.) – Elusive Quality S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twenty Six Black 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Apollo Ten 6.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Alogon 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Nothing Better 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Horsepower 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 My Boy Prince 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Senbei 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Shards 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Marcus Gift 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 Bold Journey 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Surveillance 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Unlimitedpotential 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cees Get Degrees 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Charging Aero 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Jake Rocks 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Kunshan Bridge 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Joking Way 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hatch 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Abadin 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ori 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Hola Gata 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Next On Stage 15.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Awesome Czech 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Stamp of Approval 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Highland Light 5.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Wind Flower 15.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Anileate 30.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Princess Javoncia 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Western Lane 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Patty Van Twinkle 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Thirteen Red Flags 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bells Beach 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Save Us Melania 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Appellate 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Fort Marcy S.) – Fort Marcy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Deterministic 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kay Army (CHI) 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Carson’s Run 2.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Master Piece (CHI) 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tuscan Sky 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Magnolia Midnight 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Allure of Money 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hot Rod Rumble 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Honorary Degree 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Return the Ring 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bronx Bomber 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Leddy 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Prince of Joy 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.