Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gena B |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nacho Problem |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kadabra |
1.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always Ready |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Looks to Kill |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Charlie’s Express |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
No No Joe |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paxsational |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dillinger |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Six Kings |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enticing Prospect |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Miles and Miles |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Irish |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Very Stormy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Fly’n Frisbee |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Ari’s Magic |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tarpaulin |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Prince of Truth |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gimme Gimme |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strand Road |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Mendelssohn |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Camm’ Duke |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Messi the Magician |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Accidental Bid |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Magic Beach |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
6 |
Nine N Four |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sittin Chilly |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Man From Malta |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ridolfi |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Good Moments |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
7 |
Swept |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
5 |
Cada Dia Mejor |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Willful Mama |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Currane |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Starlight Dancer |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Houdini’s Bride |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Purest Performance |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sky Runner |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
3 |
Sassetti |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mommy’s Turn |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rad Llama |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Backcheck |
6.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Je T’adore |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
My Gorgeous |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Our Preferred Pal |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
15 |
Patience N Grace |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Farm House |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Elusive Quality S.) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Twenty Six Black |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Apollo Ten |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alogon |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nothing Better |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Horsepower |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Boy Prince |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Senbei |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shards |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marcus Gift |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bold Journey |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Surveillance |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Unlimitedpotential |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cees Get Degrees |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charging Aero |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jake Rocks |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kunshan Bridge |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joking Way |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hatch |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Abadin |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Scarlet Poppy (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ori |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hola Gata |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Next On Stage |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Czech |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stamp of Approval |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Highland Light |
5.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wind Flower |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anileate |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Princess Javoncia |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Western Lane |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Patty Van Twinkle |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Thirteen Red Flags |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Bells Beach |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Save Us Melania |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Appellate |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fort Marcy S.) – Fort Marcy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Deterministic |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kay Army (CHI) |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carson’s Run |
2.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Master Piece (CHI) |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tuscan Sky |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magnolia Midnight |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Allure of Money |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Rod Rumble |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honorary Degree |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Return the Ring |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bronx Bomber |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leddy |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince of Joy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.