Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bolt Supremacy 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mio Bambino 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Travelin’ Show 5.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Gazon (GB) 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 News At Ten (GB) 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Targaryis 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Potito 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maria Tallchief 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Smiling Forever 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Rosie Ann Rules 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Flash That Smile 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Big Whoosh 4.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Elsa Dutton 5.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Firecracker Molly 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Looks Rare 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cupid’s Crusader 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Zombo Bombo 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Naftis 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Novinophobia 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sir Maximus 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cloudy Women 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Glamora (IRE) 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Ellie Moore (IRE) 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Infinity Dream 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Pondicherry 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Motet 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ready to Dare 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cause I’m Perfect 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Frog 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Crimson Sea 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Going Deep 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Spotted Haze 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Fibonaccis Ride 2.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Gracie’s Big Day 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Renatus 30.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ryan’s Girl 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Knightwithlouis 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Exile (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Atitlan 1.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Balladeer 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Packs a Wahlop 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Wizard of Westwood 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Papa Love’s Vegas 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Proud Racer 2.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Go Go Prancer 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Day At the Track 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Keep Dancin Nick 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Silver I Am 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Subic Boy 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Legal Mousse 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Freeport Joe 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spycatcher 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Invigorated 15.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Megayacht 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lottery Pick 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Coalinga Road 6.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Lahaina Flavor 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 El Rey Rey 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Nitti (IRE) 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Zalamo (FR) 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 T’Challa (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Majestic Palisades 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Silver N Black 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Bound to Succeed 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Nobel Gary 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 The Gypsy Cowboy 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Sinful King 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Stepbrotheraustin 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Lookin for Curly 30.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Little Ditty 12.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 El Chino Vaca 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Andiamo Ragazza 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Entrepreneurship 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Invincible Molly (GB) 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Thermal 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Tam’s Little Angel 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Not A Sinner (GB) 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Nene Diamond 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sweet Gal of Mine 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Miss Mandalay (GB) 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Needlepoint (IRE) 12.00 5 9-1
11 11 Shin Jidai (GB) 30.00 11.4 22-1
12 12 Crossanna 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.