Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ella It Is | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neenah | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bedtime | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Gamble | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonita Mundo | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strike a Chord | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Snow | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lois Len | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Home for a Rest | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Maddelena | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katherine’s Gem | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magical Trick | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zeena Swift | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shameless Affair | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legs Like Flatter | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gamble On Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Riley | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Sunny Valentine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Into Mischief | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Sky | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Courtney | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Follow Me | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Supreme | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Olivia Rose | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luz de La Luna | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cara Cara | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Give Me the Boots | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chromeplated Heart | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Passions | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prima | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Forest | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Garnet and Gold | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bedazzle Me | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Genius of Love | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moral Turpitude | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Somekinda Mischief | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wagstaff | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Guest | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | William T | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garden of War | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Frosty | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Ghost | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Whimsical S. Presented By Crown Royal) – Whimsical S. Presented By Crown Royal
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Earhart (FR) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gal in a Rush | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ticker Tape Home | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Candy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms. Tart | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lumberyard | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Backonthechaingang | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bennys Jets | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connor | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pin Boy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Its in the Cards | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon North | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Effect | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crucial Taunt | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Town | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stratus | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awe Inspired | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Adapted | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isaac Leo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Thoughts | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Punkin Boy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Please Don’t Go | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.