Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiote 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Detail Oriented 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Don Luis 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Poppy’s Ticket 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Anmolo 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Terminal Velocity 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 College Hunk 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bendoog 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Film Star 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Repo Rocks 8.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Classic Catch 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 General Banker 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Otello 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (License Fee S.) – License Fee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Love Appeals 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dontlookbackatall 1.80 1.1 2-1
4 4 Hollywood Walk 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Time to Dazzle 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 On Command 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Weehawken 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Save Us Melania 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Buttercream Babe 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Noble Confessor 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Reteko 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Uncatalyzed (GB) 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Kulapat 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Spun 30.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Tomorrow’s Wish 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Just Bernie 30.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Grand Commander 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Summit Ridge 1.20 SCRATCH
1 1 Freedom Glider 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aerate 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 King Lee 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drake’s Passage 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 General Partner 1.40 1.5 3-1
7 7 Holiday Pay 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Reddington 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Strapped 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Whittington Park 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Pirate 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alder 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cigarette Boat 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Final Verdict 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Felix 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Seaver 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Works for Me 2.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Boltage 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Linzer 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sheriff Bianco 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bad Larry 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 What’s Up Bro 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bramito 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Toxic Gray 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Vagrancy S.) – Vagrancy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 St. Benedicts Prep 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Almostgone Rocket 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Haulin Ice 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Socially Selective 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 R Disaster 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Leslie’s Rose 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Beaugay S.) – Beaugay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Raqiya (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Grayosh 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 No Mo Candy 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Edict (ARG) 20.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Spaliday 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mohawk Trail 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Heredia (GB) 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Lady Firefoot 30.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Amanda’s Folly 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Westchester S.) – Westchester S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bishops Bay 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Quint’s Brew 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Tumbarumba 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Worcester 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bank Frenzy 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Yo Daddy 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Howgreatisnate 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Merica’s Back 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Train the Trainer 0.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Liberty Rising 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Twohonestmischief 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Iron Max 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Carlin Contention 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Executive Style 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Come Full Circle 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.