Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Monet Never (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 R Money Moves 1.80 2.8 5-1
8 8 Cajun’s Cookin 2.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Vindicated Tiger 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Frosty Shop 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Titan 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Vinicio 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Red Candy Apple 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 R Wins Aren’t Luck 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Seminole Sally 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 His Choice 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Cooter’s Revenge (AUS) 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Triple Secret 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Venezuelan Pride 30.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 My Sweet Adaline 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Grazen Cat 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 My Amy 8.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Poccetti 20.00 10.3 19-1
16 16 Kathy’s Love Song 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ellagio 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Burn It All 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Morgan 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Geegee’s Story 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Get the Win 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cruzin Man 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Esperon 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Rachel’s Coach 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 One Whirlwind Ride 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Takecareofbusiness 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dropkick Murphy 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Outta Money 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Speranzosa 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Back to Gridlock 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Woodspoint 3.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Alas Doradas 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Tree C’s Kai 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Gators Reign 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Fleeting Free 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Deep Dusk 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souper Watson 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hot Blooded 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Souper Attentive 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Reminder 2.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Uno Tiger 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Indecisiveness 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Secret Lover 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Italian Symphony 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Gucci Boy 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sixteen Cigarettes 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Blast Radius 1.40 2 4-1
5 5 Mr Scatter 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Quencio 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Thingsrgettinharry 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Leopardi 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Burnaway 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Bugged Out 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mean to Me 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Play Free Bird 1.80 2.4 4-1
1 1 Fontina 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bomb Squad 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 R Awesome Sauce 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mywifeknowsitall 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Royally Blue 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Warda 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Coco Abarrio 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Kid Mattie Matt 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bianka Heart 30.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Denver’s Alley 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Travel Happy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 El Muheet 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 El Silencio 30.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Renege 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Maktub 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Accelerate Me 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Milazzo 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Imperatus 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Catalina Storm 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sweet Lazarus 30.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Rashid 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Handsome Fox 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.