Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Margarita Daze 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Bajan Bashert 2.50 4.8 9-1
12 12 Hot Boss 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Seven’s Magic 10.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Holy Brick 30.00 10.8 20-1
7 7 Tammy’s Magic 15.00 10.8 20-1
8 8 Ballycurrin 20.00 11.3 21-1
5 5 Nancy’s Notion 30.00 11.9 22-1
13 13 Intel Agent 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Chestertown Jane 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Lemoncello 1.60 SCRATCH
15 15 Bad Girl Betty Lou 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Julia’s a Fox 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rehoboth Avenue 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Judith’s Cross 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Melancia 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Amity Road 1.80 1 2-1
3 2 Tops the Chart 2.50 3.7 7-1
1A 5 Joe 1.80 3.8 7-1
7 8 Afraidofthebunny 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Holy Synchronicity 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 7 Pudge Boy Palace 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Everett’s Song 3.50 SCRATCH
5 6 Let’s Have a Party 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Defined Boundaries 3.00 1 2-1
4 3 General Maximus 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 7 Twice Gold 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Maximus Speed 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Daddy Yankee 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Not So Holy 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Stone’s Throw 4.50 6.4 12-1
8 8 Right Quick 30.00 6.5 12-1
1A 9 Scrappy T Lee 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Peyton Elizabeth 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 You Can’t Win 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Isabella’s Glory 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Social Lady 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Conquest Dancer 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Old Bay 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 I’m a Cutie Pie 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bad Temper 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Quit Quay 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Utterly Enchanting 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Beach Island 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Speak Your Mind 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Forgotten Gift 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sheherhers 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Out of Luck 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Short of Dinero 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Portis 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Freedom Stance 5.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Long Astride 4.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Ifeelbadforyouson 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tap Anchor 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Silent Roar 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Enabler 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Sneaking Suspicion 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Honors Due 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 True Faith 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lionel 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Frosted Bull 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Annihilate ‘Em 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Kitty’s Son 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Veneto 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Maupansant 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Breezing Up 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Talented Man 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Great Idea 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Swill 12.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Smooth B 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 On the Mark 2.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Radical Right 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Tidewater 10.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Classier 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Maya Prince 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jean Valjean 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Grooms All Bizness 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Had to Have Him 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Beauty 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Warrior’s Ransom 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Intrepid Dream 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Call Another Play 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Doctor Abbie 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Di’s Surprise 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Masakado 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Berks 1.40 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sunset Town 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Morning Thoughts 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mister Agent 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Goodluckchuck 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Southern District 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.