Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Holly Goquickly (FR) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nakota (IRE) |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tavolara |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Giggle Giggle |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silver Flirt |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Honky Tonk Rhythm |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Global Consort |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Inner Fury (IRE) |
6.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Authentic Grace |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rank |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
War to Remember |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Concord Bridge |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charlie Foxtrot |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grinnell |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cano for the Win |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pacific Quest |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kid Dynasty |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Trump Era |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Pippins |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jalisco |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Cardenas |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fionello |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Doing Time |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flashy Fritz |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Santa Barbara S.) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mrs. Astor |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mahina |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Starry Heavens (IRE) |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sakura Blossom |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sophisticate |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Khinjani (GB) |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Western Freedom |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Check’s On the Way |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Letmein |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Triple Diamonds |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Got’m Cot’m |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reboso |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nijinsky Halo |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hezaspanishdancer |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Caribbean King |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yogi Boy |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Osage Creek |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Constant Conflict |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tizz a Good Thing |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cody Boy |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rexford |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Invincible |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Incredible Shot |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Nero Tulip (GB) |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
7 |
7 |
Known Idea |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Pax a Punch |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Got Your Six |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Whats the Buzz |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
El Ondeado |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chasing Ryter |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Toppers Wager |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gantry |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seager Man |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rocksalot |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
My Pal George |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dontgetfooledagain |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Adept |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Highland Echo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Naval Harbor |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Count of Amazonia (IRE) |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vantastic |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hurricane Cloud (GB) |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mackinnon |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Calm Sea |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sydney Street (GB) |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ottoman Prince (IRE) |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Caisson |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Del Mar Jerry |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sbagliato |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Exultation |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Traegar |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Judge Miller |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
See Through It |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ga Mo Tak (CHI) |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ultimate Gamble |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vlahos |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mbagnick (CHI) |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Blue Wildcat |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Pop |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blevys Tiger |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elegant Sway |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
J and M Express |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quick Omen |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gianis Girl |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Draw Me |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lady Run |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Petit Filet |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Ultimate Hy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Baby Kristen |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lamporghini |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.