Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Holly Goquickly (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nakota (IRE) 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Tavolara 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Giggle Giggle 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Silver Flirt 30.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Honky Tonk Rhythm 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Global Consort 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Inner Fury (IRE) 6.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Authentic Grace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rank 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 War to Remember 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Concord Bridge 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Charlie Foxtrot 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Grinnell 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cano for the Win 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Pacific Quest 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Kid Dynasty 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trump Era 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mr. Pippins 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Jalisco 10.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Mr. Cardenas 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fionello 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Doing Time 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Flashy Fritz 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Santa Barbara S.) – Santa Barbara S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mrs. Astor 1.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mahina 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Starry Heavens (IRE) 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sakura Blossom 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Sophisticate 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Khinjani (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Western Freedom 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Check’s On the Way 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Letmein 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Triple Diamonds 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Got’m Cot’m 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Reboso 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Nijinsky Halo 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Hezaspanishdancer 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Caribbean King 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Yogi Boy 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Osage Creek 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Constant Conflict 20.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tizz a Good Thing 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cody Boy 30.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Rexford 2.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Invincible 3.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Incredible Shot 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Nero Tulip (GB) 20.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Known Idea 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Pax a Punch 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Got Your Six 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Whats the Buzz 5.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 El Ondeado 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Chasing Ryter 4.50 2.7 5-1
12 12 Toppers Wager 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Gantry 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Seager Man 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Rocksalot 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 My Pal George 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Dontgetfooledagain 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Adept 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Highland Echo 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Naval Harbor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vantastic 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Mackinnon 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Calm Sea 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sydney Street (GB) 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ottoman Prince (IRE) 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Caisson 15.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Del Mar Jerry 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Sbagliato 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Exultation 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Traegar 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Judge Miller 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 See Through It 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Ga Mo Tak (CHI) 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Ultimate Gamble 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Vlahos 5.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mbagnick (CHI) 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Blue Wildcat 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Big Pop 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Blevys Tiger 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Elegant Sway 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 J and M Express 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Quick Omen 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Gianis Girl 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Draw Me 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Lady Run 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Petit Filet 30.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Ultimate Hy 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Baby Kristen 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lamporghini 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.