Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Moment | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Quality | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Avro | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valyrian Sky | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapture Bay | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hey Cue | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stylish Gent | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ernie’s Martini | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hicksy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Forester | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet N Win | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thenorthremembers | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Last American Exit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pine Knoll | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garofoli | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Reload | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Break the Spell | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Dog N Joe | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alberta Be Mine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gizmo’s B F F | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pluie d’Avril | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Nights | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Blush | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaumont Drive | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gabby Squared | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coherence | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chairman Rainbow | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Attestation | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Contrivance | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ontario Holiday | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Row | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Star | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Panyard Tap | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Threat | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Crusader | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Penner Ash (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Commander | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Its Time to Shine | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The New Maybe | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sherif Ali | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Red Domi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Bourbon | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Cohete | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Realm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Guest | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Bruce | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Rainbow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your Valentino | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Worsley | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Power | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Has Diamonds | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good King Sam | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Your Gloves | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Priceless Will | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Dormy | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Landing | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamiesta | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cotton | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Mustard | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Thorncliffe S.) – Thorncliffe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Patches O’Houlihan | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runnin’ Rocket | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flag Of Honour (AUS) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ironstone | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Tandhoneywithane | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Cricket | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Emmy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Earendel | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foresters Exec | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nicki Is a Breeze | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Workout Affair | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Ring | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Pretty | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Boujee | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Misslucky | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Our Lady | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snatched | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Scat Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.