Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lean Music Machine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aerate | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger Battalion | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Musume | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural Hunk | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party With Smarty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Henry’s Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gametime Gladiator | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outsource | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macaw | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbroken Chain | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Trumpet | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat On | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King Phoenix | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spun and Won | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dot’s Dollar | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Graywing | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bramito | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Concorde Spirit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bad Larry | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’smyhoneybadger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Wisdom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Have You Heard | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glint | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Forever | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Narciso Dali | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arcadian | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lou | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame It On Daddy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torpedo Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Observer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Park | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sounds of Summer | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu’s Dynamite | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Sandy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gracie Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Lil Surfergirl | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamitendiamonds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rotknee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Octane | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nelson Avenue | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nova Rags | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twenty Four Mamba | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ridgewood Runner | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Everest (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Momentum | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hush of a Storm | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Son of a Birch | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Bomber | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Magnolia Midnight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Army Proud | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Ed | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orie | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pandemic Hero | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hard Par | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ragtime Prankster | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Shephard | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Joevia’s First | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oat Coutour | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wind Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magni | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Omaha Pistol | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Premier Cru | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unity Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alzero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Joker On Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.