Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 8, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lean Music Machine 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Aerate 4.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Ranger Battalion 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Midnight Musume 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Natural Hunk 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Party With Smarty 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Henry’s Hope 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gametime Gladiator 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Outsource 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Macaw 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Unbroken Chain 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 First Trumpet 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Flat On 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 King Phoenix 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spun and Won 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dot’s Dollar 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 7 Graywing 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bramito 2.50 2.7 5-1
1A 6 Concorde Spirit 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 8 Bad Larry 30.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 He’smyhoneybadger 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Quiet Wisdom 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Have You Heard 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Glint 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Clever Forever 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Narciso Dali 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Arcadian 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Lou 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Blame It On Daddy 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Torpedo Run 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Observer 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sunset Park 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Sounds of Summer 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Malibu’s Dynamite 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Silent Sandy 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Gracie Girl 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Our Lil Surfergirl 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Dynamitendiamonds 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rotknee 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Octane 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Nelson Avenue 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Nova Rags 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Twenty Four Mamba 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ridgewood Runner 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Everest (GB) 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Donegal Momentum 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Hush of a Storm 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Son of a Birch 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sherlock’s Jewel 6.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Ruse 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Unbridled Bomber 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Magnolia Midnight 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Wonderful Justice (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Army Proud 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cousin Ed 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Orie 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Pandemic Hero 6.00 4 8-1
13 13 Hard Par 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Ragtime Prankster 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Perfect Shephard 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Joevia’s First 30.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 Oat Coutour 10.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Wind Dancer 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Magni 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Omaha Pistol 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Premier Cru 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unity Dreams 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Alzero 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Joker On Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.