Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Chablis | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wits and Wagers | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Argan | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie’s Love | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Bay | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Differently | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Peabody | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Blaze | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gorrono Ranch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chambourcin | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodall Pass | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheekwood | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Mad | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Engagement | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soundsmischievous | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caroom’s Croupier | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ojos Locos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nonstop Vino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sole Lute | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Houligan | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lebombo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Spin | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start Mo Up | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pyromania | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guy Smiley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fling Ready | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormtown | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Restore (FR) | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modus Bestia | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Math Tutor | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blast Furnace | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nyttime Story | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Starry Night | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southern Bullet | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Military Cruiser | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Initialize | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Castle Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Call Shadd | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don Corleone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berniedott | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Livehappy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Geno’s Myth | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Genuine Star | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Le Chiffre | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pierce Elevated | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penei | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Its Paladin Time | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bermuda Blitz | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Suited and Booted | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Art Fair | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forty Love | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haunted Flame | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charbonnay | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Mover | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Favorite Son | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Aero Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Purse Thief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Double Velocity | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hereforagoodtime | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love and Poetry | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sherbini | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scattitude | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birkin Girl | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knightofcaravaggio | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poema | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annelle | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taco Cat Backwards | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Orient | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eunomia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Serendipity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Never Really Know (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Will Not Be Swayed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Practical | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Wear | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Princess | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gerlin’s Empire | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Austin High | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Ny | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Division | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madeline’s Promise | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carolina Smokeshow | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spotaway | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mezcalifornia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.