Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
What’s Her Number |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s No Angel |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crank It Up |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mustique |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Walk Street |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whiskey Brew |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Happy Prince |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Honors |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trevally |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Keen |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shake and Rattle |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Longstrider |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fistfulofmoney |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chalky White |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kid Twist |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Initialize |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Castle Run |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Borrowed Time |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zapping Strike |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Outofpi |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ink Lies |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Love That Symphony |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
E Lion |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Military Cruiser |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fireblade |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Frankie’s Boy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Edifice |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Atomic Snow |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cortina (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
El Magnifico |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Django |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Riddle Solver |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brave Blend |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honest Al |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Next Level |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Mor Story |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Acknowledge |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reverse Merger |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Conquering Cat |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Purse Thief |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Derek’s Law |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Greatdayforhockey |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crooked Bullet |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sonic Skidaddle |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
I’m Mo Joke |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mae Town |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Murphy Girl |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reya Sunshine |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Girls Rock |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Good Going |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sang |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Salty Senorita |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Moonlight Dash |
4.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Texas Queen |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Candy Mine |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Grey Matter |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Sycamore Shoals |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Flirty Girl |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Warrior Richard |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Great Escape |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glen Airy |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lure Him In |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tres Soles |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trident Hit |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bernin Hot |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Blaze |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Master Game |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tomasello |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Enterdadragon |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
McIlroy |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Emergence |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Coast |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Discreet Dancer |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thermoscat |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mika |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Solid Left |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Native Runner |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Lazlo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bow to Clara |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dark Fury |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nursekringledances |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Casilda |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mad About Marie |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rando |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Animal Fries |
5.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tizntshelovely |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Go Town |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.