Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Acoustic Ave | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Cent Town | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factually Correct | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daufuskie Island | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavyweight Champs | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Braciole | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Man O’ War S.) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Far Bridge | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capture the Flag | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anglophile | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Padiddle | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decanted | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silo Ridge | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muazarah | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J J’s Joker | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tarpaulin | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Spirit | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorary Degree | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quick to Accuse | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keewaydin | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Medal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waitlist | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Badge of War | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gone Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Winter’s Ghost | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Centavo | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Beachwalker | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catch the Smoke | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Suerte | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cumberland Blues | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Empty Tomb | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | High Tide | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Higher Quality | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Allaboutthemoney | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Van Vollenhoven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wind Dancer | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man From Malta | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sanzio | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eighty Gold | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dead Aim | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tango Tango | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blue Pill | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brenchley | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unity Dreams | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhyton | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (John A. Nerud S.) – John A. Nerud S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whatchatalkinabout | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Moon Madness | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anarchist | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surveillance | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Slugger | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O’Conner Sunset | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magical Ways | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bonus Move | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seeking Unity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sagamore Mischief | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Bomber | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daunt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Itsallcomintogetha | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Enlighten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Activist Investing (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Raptor’s (BRZ) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Take The A Train S.) – Take The A Train S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love Cervere | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Emma | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annascaul | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Madison | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Bertie | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gata Brazil | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wisconsin Gal | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warming | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Serving Time (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ruffian S.) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Mane Squeeze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gun Song | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jody’s Pride | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Silver | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Headline Numbers | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Matcha | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here’s the Kicker | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takethemoneyhoney | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catherine Wheel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Claret Beret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Move | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Peter Pan S.) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Captain Cook | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vassimo | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hill Road | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Moon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | McAfee | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brereton’s Baytown | 50.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaged | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happily Delusional | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Pitch | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lordship | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.