Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Acoustic Ave 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ten Cent Town 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Factually Correct 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Daufuskie Island 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Heavyweight Champs 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Braciole 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Man O’ War S.) – Man O’ War S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Far Bridge 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Capture the Flag 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Anglophile 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Padiddle 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Decanted 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silo Ridge 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Muazarah 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 J J’s Joker 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Tarpaulin 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Enduring Spirit 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Honorary Degree 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Celtic Prince 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Quick to Accuse 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Keewaydin 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Hero’s Medal 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Waitlist 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Badge of War 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Rock the Weekend 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gone Boy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Winter’s Ghost 8.00 1 2-1
7 6 Centavo 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Beachwalker 30.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Catch the Smoke 6.00 4.3 8-1
1A 9 Suerte 2.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Cumberland Blues 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 10 Empty Tomb 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 High Tide 4.00 SCRATCH
1 8 Higher Quality 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Allaboutthemoney 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Van Vollenhoven 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wind Dancer 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Man From Malta 30.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Sanzio 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Eighty Gold 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dead Aim 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Tango Tango 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Blue Pill 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Brenchley 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Unity Dreams 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Rhyton 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (John A. Nerud S.) – John A. Nerud S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whatchatalkinabout 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Full Moon Madness 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Anarchist 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Surveillance 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Silver Slugger 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 O’Conner Sunset 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Magical Ways 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bonus Move 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Seeking Unity 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Sagamore Mischief 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Unbridled Bomber 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Daunt 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Itsallcomintogetha 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Enlighten 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Activist Investing (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Raptor’s (BRZ) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Take The A Train S.) – Take The A Train S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Love Cervere 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lovely Emma 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Annascaul 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Marvelous Madison 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Hey Bertie 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Disco Star 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Gata Brazil 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Wisconsin Gal 30.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Warming 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Serving Time (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bunratty Manor (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ruffian S.) – Ruffian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Mane Squeeze 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Gun Song 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Jody’s Pride 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sterling Silver 4.50 3.9 7-1
11 11 Headline Numbers 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Morning Matcha 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Here’s the Kicker 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Takethemoneyhoney 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Catherine Wheel 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Claret Beret 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dazzling Move 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Peter Pan S.) – Peter Pan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Captain Cook 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vassimo 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Hill Road 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Surfside Moon 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 McAfee 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Brereton’s Baytown 50.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Uncaged 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Happily Delusional 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 First Pitch 50.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Lordship 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.