Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
She’s So Shiny |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Savannamarie |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Laserjet |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gray Frost |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Q Bond |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Calisue |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pittore d’Oro |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Zeca Diabo |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oneofthegoodguys |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Graydaria |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Air of Defiance |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Goldentown |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kistler |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Noble Gentleman |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tiverton (GB) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sutherland |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Manabi |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chryso Alogo |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
God of Wine |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
One for My Brother |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Not Normal |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Beau Soleil |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Problematica |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Annmarie |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Self Isolation |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Jeopardy |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frango Electrico |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Never Sway |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Protomagic |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Caviar Breakfast |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lotus Petal |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gum |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Straight Forward |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bea Trix |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
In the Stars |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Time Stone |
3.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tempting Eve |
4.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Big Air |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wedding Mood (IRE) |
2.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sheila’s Lion |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Olympic Dame |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Tap the Champagne |
15.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swift Tease |
30.00 |
15.6 |
29-1 |
11 |
11 |
B D’s Angel |
30.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
16 |
16 |
Something Stronger |
10.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mr Puk |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Appeal Denied |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peruvian Lucky |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Critical Threat |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Khozy My Boy |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Easy Operator |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crosstown Shootout |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Huntertown |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ready Pursuit |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Junior Bug |
6.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Kant Beat the Rock |
4.50 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Improbable Story |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Batter Up |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Venik |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz My Hero |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Farm Team |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Over Proof |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ped d’Oro |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pace Yourself |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bo Bo Dough |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Romantic Lead |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Raising Kane |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Abbi Fede |
5.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Levitating |
6.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
St. Armands Key |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
15 |
15 |
Grand Aspen |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
American Hope |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Johny’s Fireball |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oscar Season |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Factor Analysis |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Corruption |
3.50 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fuerteventura |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
English Chunnel |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Quatrocento |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clyde’s Got a Gun |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zverev |
10.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
16 |
16 |
Tough Little Nut |
10.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
7 |
7 |
Happy Happy Day (ARG) |
30.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
13 |
13 |
Moogie Son |
20.00 |
14.4 |
27-1 |
14 |
14 |
Lips Say Bliss |
12.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Orizzonte |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Welaka |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
McIlroy |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gun Party |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Real Men Violin |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Accident |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Itsinmyblood |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mugatu |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mamzelle S.) – Mamzelle S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mechaya |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shisospicy |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dreamaway |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
It Ain’t Two (GB) |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bonne Fille |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mighty Eriu (IRE) |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kilwin |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Laurice |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Abientot |
5.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Serving Time (GB) |
10.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
12 |
12 |
Civetta |
8.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bunratty Manor (IRE) |
20.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
13 |
13 |
Lovely Emma |
8.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
17 |
17 |
Hey Bertie |
8.00 |
14.4 |
27-1 |
14 |
14 |
Me Governor |
12.00 |
15.2 |
29-1 |
15 |
15 |
Stay Classy |
20.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
16 |
16 |
Anakarina |
20.00 |
17 |
32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Velociraptor |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keeping the Faith |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mister Banderas |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Redacted |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lottery Win |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pop Paul |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tap Me a Song |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Devil |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
More Than Prada |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo Work |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Vix |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Good Mojo |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.