Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Social Majesty | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astin Style | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Channel | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eleven Bravo | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Bills Campaign | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abuelo | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Positive Energy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chill Bean | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nvdia | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timber | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Diamond | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Love Ireland | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Chloe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valley of Dawn | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calabash Cove | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aunt Jossy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Astrology | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Man | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Mendel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yemrehanakristos | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triumphant Road | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baroquen Record | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fredericksburg | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gemstone Warrior | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic Empire | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cheeca Blue | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magala | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Maximus | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Rose | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Kit Kat | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mario’s Sweet Girl | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rodeo Cowgirl | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blueish | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Diamond | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Baby | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wink of an Eye | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senorita Nomas | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Fortune Cookie | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Patrick’s | 1.60 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Authentic Guitar | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lennilu | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strada Del Sogno | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emerald Ember | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nonna’s Love | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Satisfied Mind | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kitty Cleo (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Le Sunshine | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bibi Dahl | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bohemian | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Divinely Inspired | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Testament | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rumpus in Paradise | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Just a Little Bit | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Laulauga | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bottomless Mimosa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blushing Tiger | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance to Remember | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Humor Me Brother | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ratu Jawa | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Vivant | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome McKinzie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord of War | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Hans | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Light Fury | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mobou | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sting Music | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belly of Jelly | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honesto | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Austonian | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Indy Lyon | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infamous Covert | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock the Stars | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman Gerry | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Foxtrot Harry | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | De Regreso | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pursuit of Liberty | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Do Gooder | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chick’s Shadow | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violet Gibson (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasy Performer | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Royal Palm Juvenile S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Squire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Win N Juice | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fear | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tully Road | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ciborio | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cadenced | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hotter Than Dem | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Skipping Stars | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing My Dream | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Think I Can (IRE) | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beers On Me | 10.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuzzy Stare | 2.50 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkadelphia | 10.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandal’s Song | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.