Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ariel Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lazy Days | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Asknotwhatyoucando | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Hour Joker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rapido Rosa | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diane Lee | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fair Trade | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seap | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Respect the Law | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Viscious Gossip | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Conceptualize | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Any Fools Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sharmin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Somethingwonderful | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Roadrunner the Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | J Z’s Last Schance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bigtonten | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fridayswithmurray | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buoyant | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who Says So | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Mendelslew | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birravino Blvd | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuff Luck | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Holy Fit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pap’s Lil Patriot | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire’s Treat | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laughing Fit | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steam Knot | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Got the Munni | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Somme River | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brand New Dance | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wine Snob | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Grace | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Skittliedat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Clare Court | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | So Emotional | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Beastorburden | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Impetus Echo (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cassius | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Treasure | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Motskari | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nico Lucky | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parkerness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Penny Loafer | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Admit Nothing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Formal Affair | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Great Kisser | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sinetic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Andy | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benny Havens | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noah Chance | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Claudee Boy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meg | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daring Venture | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rennie | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Heavens | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pealing Lad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Normandy Hero | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Irish | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mean Jakey | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minister for Magic | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remembering Wilbur | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rad Paisley | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Wolfman | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bigdaddysboy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Mamba | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spotted Bull | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hazednconfused | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lord of Mischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Splendor Beauty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fightertown | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kendama | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maximo Madness | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Petit Fils (FR) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B Determined | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King’s River | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty the Giant | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Khozan | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Power Back | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tiberius Mercurius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Factotum | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | New York Panther | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ironsides | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sue Loves Barbados | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Hero | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Is a Pal | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenax | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marathoner | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisianimal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cactus | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smitten Enough | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monster Mason | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caribbean Pleasure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Chinito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Goodluckchuck | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Walk Away Joe | 1.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forrest City | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Master of None | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Morning Thoughts | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Jefferson | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | B West | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Melt With You | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Mister Agent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mor Mor Mor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Annieworkstoomuch | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haleigh B | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like You | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Dance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neolithica | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coal Mine | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.