Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Free and Humble | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annie’s Joy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Idessia | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Port Ellen (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quaria Thunder | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montjica (FR) | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bronko Nagurski | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Bet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hermelinda’s Fancy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six Hot Grands | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Service | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uplift | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doris Avenue | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clements Ride | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lead Pipe Joe | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Machupicchu | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stan From Malibu | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaguar Jon | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Amadeo | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Willis | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queen Girvin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naida | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Memosis | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Moon Grazen | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nala | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Daddy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand to Sea | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Siren Lure S.) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bran (FR) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Boss | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Force Red | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Reflection | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eye On Ry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sierra Silver | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catch a Breeze | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheever | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vasa | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legal Heir | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penalty Box | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Gentleman | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Meagher (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lovin’ On the Run | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petite Treat | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Maryann | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Magical | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Muppet | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Fashion | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Sky | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C’Mon Lets Switch | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Donttestyourluck | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Momo’s Kiddo | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Bucket List | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golf Drama | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red On Sunday | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicklow Hills | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Don’s Smiling | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Niko | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | North Country | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bobby’s Alibi | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Rascal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nikolina | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guitar Girl | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donttellourwives | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Friend of Mine | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Insolenta | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | East Boca Kibbutz | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Smile | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlit Courage | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lead the Way Kay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.