Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hot Spun 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Into Inspiration 15.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Be Real 0.80 4.2 8-1
4 4 Solutions 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Fully Booked 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Princess Cairo 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Focus Pocus 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Accelerina 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Brooklyn Dantz 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Danneel 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 That’sthefactjack 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Broadway Lights 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Passage East 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Notmysteppingstone 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Brooklyn Rhapsody 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Spun Size 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Awesome Roberta 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runamor 0.40 1 2-1
6 6 Monomoys Partner 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Fines Creek 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Yo Bro 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Vesuvio 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Uncle Barrie 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 No More Sins 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cognoscenti 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 English Castle 1.40 2.3 4-1
3 3 Fresh Start 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Solomini’s Legacy 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Before the Wind 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Poggio 6.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 My Gorgeous 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dr High 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chris’s Song 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sanzio 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ultimate Ready 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Creed’s Gold 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cara’s Time 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Weekend Rags 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Golden Canary 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Tazara (IRE) 2.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Soloshot 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Simply Stated 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Golden Degree 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aggelos the Great 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Master of Arms 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 War Stride 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Co Conspirator 30.00 4 8-1
4 4 Fly’n Frisbee 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mish 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Light the Way 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Born Dancer 2.50 1 2-1
2 1 Slapintheface 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 2 Be of Courage 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Clear Conscience 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Gem Mint Ten 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Cable Ready 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Leftembehind 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 King Moonracer 50.00 8.4 16-1
1A 12 Neural Network 3.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Dr. Kraft 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mighty Atlas 1.60 SCRATCH
10 9 Elysian Meadows 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Anticipation 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 More Than Grace 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Cahira’s Song 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Fire’s Out 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mutually Exclusive 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sugar Run 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Hidden Agenda 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Just Add Water 5.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Here’syourtrouble 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Laylani Lou 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.