Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trust Issues | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chance | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summonyourcourage | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colorado Cruiser | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andy’s Candy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heart Spin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Save Time | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foreseen | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Condone | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Faire Plaisir | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mizmalice | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Copper Em | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won Happy Mama | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elle’s Dancer | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just an Opinion | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Serengeti | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Lover | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookatmybuckle | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Better | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waves of Mischief | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Random Harvest | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostly Gal | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adrasteia | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sanctify | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catmint | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breezing Along | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paint Me Perfect | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Moringa | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mink Stole | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justtakethecannoli | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cruise Missile | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mombayla | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Muse | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evermore | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rush to Glory | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reign Champagne | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chandon | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Albans Raid | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Takethesilver | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Copperlite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmeup | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proven Hope | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swaggish | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Executive Action | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runwithheart | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ember | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icarus | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Permiso | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Channel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Swirling Eights | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foligno | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Pediatrician | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Steel Venom | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lebowski | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sully | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gearing Up | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Legend | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Direct Channel | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rule Seventy Six | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Niko | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Fed’s Plot | 30.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 15.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Zap d’Etat | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sock It to Me | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pinfire | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comedy Town | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Payne | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Module | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Rey | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suga Steve | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiseler | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tough Little Nut | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Bullingdon | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Lane | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Army Officer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Blue Line | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Better Bet | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Quadra Island | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Run | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moogie Son | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Kabong | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Aspen | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Yamato | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lips Say Bliss | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big to Do | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Order Restored | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Lucky Lady | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kissin Riches | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | True Passion | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hi’iaka | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Super Betty | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maclean’s Lullaby | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mysidehustle | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady of Light | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toolbelt | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flirty Girl | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crackle | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Innocent Nyght | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.