Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stone Cold Flex 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Roscoe Pine 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 First Shot Fired 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Noble Tiger 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sweet Cha Cha 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Will of a Warrior 4.50 6.9 13-1
4 4 Country Slew 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Folktale 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 De la Calles 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ragman 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Neigh Sayer 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Catalina Storm 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Willingness 2.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Wampanoag Chief 4.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Game of Power 12.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Kharif 30.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 God Is Life 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sugar Buzz 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kosher Capone 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lou the Body 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 War Commander 1.80 3.4 6-1
7 7 Song So Sweet 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Fredericksburg 2.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Ambushed 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Para Siempre 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Want All the Smoke 1.20 1.7 3-1
1 1 Xenon 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Any Moment 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Stubold 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Instagrand Girl 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Always Adriana 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Deflection 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Slender Slipper 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Shedoo Kitten 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Bianka Heart 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cue the Music 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Ave Fenix 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Let’s Dance Again 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beastly Speed 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Awesome Train 10.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Vitality 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Fiveeyesonskystars 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Centrodelantero 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Capitan Danny (CHI) 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Avant Glory 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Clubhouse 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Power Humor 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Luni Sima 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Self Taught 4.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Belts ‘n Brooks 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Come Dream With Me 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dream Concert 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Princess Indy 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Claret Beret 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 Broderie 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sweet Laura 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Gallop d’Hermes 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Nerazurri 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Champagne Brunch 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Le Touche 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Olivia Valentina 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Bojaca Blessing 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Starship Vengeance 30.00 4 8-1
8 8 Wonderland 3.50 7.1 13-1
7 7 Majustify 4.50 8 15-1
2 2 Viveca 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.