Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Locomotive 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 D Hopper 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Fortheloveofrun 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Z Bogdan 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Pretty Jimmy 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Minister 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 One True Dude 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Jo Bee Brat 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Madefromliona 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Fiery Debut 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 My Lucky Ace 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 One Improbable 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 In My Memories 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Island Dream Girl 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Can Do 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gaga’s Hamsome 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ferociousness 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Thunder in Paris 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dine and Dash 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Notiptoni 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Boys of Summer 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sigmund 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gatto Be Proud 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Dominguez 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Tetched 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dats Mr. Tap 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sir Chance a Lot 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Whizbang 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Keen Surge 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Baby Oscar 8.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Mortal Sin 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Superpower 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Amy’s Music 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tavern Time 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Tethered Soul 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Top Blood 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 National Law 3.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 Hot Stott 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shane Falco 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Agent Kelly 1.40 1.6 3-1
2 2 Go to Bingo 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Kuz It’s Chilly 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Let Fly 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Rebel’s Memory 4.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Italiano Kid 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Hot Truck Bob 30.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Salvo Trigger 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Great Artist 4.50 10.8 20-1
11 11 All Fruits Ripe 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 None the Wiser 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Chapin Eleven 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Furious George 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Just for Giggles 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Oyster Soup 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Great Andrei 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tuned to the Moon 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Divine Works 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Grayson’s Girl 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Green Eyed Monster 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Shkhara Fire 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lift the Lid 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Ready for Magic 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artwell 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kunooz 2.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Bold Licorice 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Lil Sebastian 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mo Joke 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Cesnola 30.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Elfuegomasbrilante 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Grey Flannel Boss 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Bookitwithhaddad 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 True Faith 20.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Pure Realization 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Key Stat 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Majestic Creed 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Northern Glow 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Lovely Charm 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Viennese Waltz 3.50 5.5 10-1
1 3 Mia Tosca 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Sheilahs Warcloud 1.80 SCRATCH
6 7 Next Girl 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady d’Oro 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mendrel 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Ithinkiloveyou 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Conceptualize 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sharmin 4.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Lost River 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sweet Summer Love 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chantico 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 New Boots 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Love Park 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 My Vanilla 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.