Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Bro Bro 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 The Shillelagh 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 No Poking Around 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Three Georges 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 It’s a Factor 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Thirsty Vision 50.00 4.6 9-1
4 98 Typhoon Tommy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mrazek’s Old Dream 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Co Heart 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Maga Kai 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Made to Move 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Go Cami Oh 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Smokem Hot Girl 2.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Enjoy 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lammas (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cathal (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Eye On Ry 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sarwar (FR) 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Genius Jimmy 5.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Gold Foot 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Miss Miche Lada 1.00 1 2-1
5 4 Beverly T 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mamarando 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cheering for Layla 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Countess Vronsky 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Onward and Upward 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 98 Dixie Blaze 0.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Prime Number 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Leasure 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Annan 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Spearfish 30.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Louis the Champ 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Malibu Rocks 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Tariff 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Let Seamus Go 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Smart Code 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keep Movin’ On 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ready to Pounce 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Man Child 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Atomic Drop 2.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Right Hand Ryder 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Last Call London 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Nauvoo 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Cinema S.) – Cinema S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Freedom’s Not Free 1.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mythical Reel (IRE) 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Artislas 2.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Incanto (IRE) 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Game Warrior 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bodi Zafa 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lyell’s Song 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Momad 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Brazenly 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Self Sufficient 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ghazaaly 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Canada Gate 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Gun Runner Charlie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smiling Beast 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sir Rocket 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Catmansue 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Known Idea 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Miss Jo’s Curlin 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Uncle Chilly 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Shady Appeal 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Silent Heat 50.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Infamous Angel 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.