Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sipping History 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Casson 1.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Judy Chop 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hot Potato 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Seeking Magic 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Storm Royale 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Speedy Pal 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Commander At Sea 15.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Dissectologist 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dancin’ Deputy 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Wet and Wild 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Stormin Dave 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Under Surveillance 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Street Princess 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Brilliant Disguise 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mia Mitole 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Serenading Kitten 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Radio Goo Goo 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Come On Big Lou 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blackhillsherriff 5.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Bourbononaholiday 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Aim Don’t Miss 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Serenade Point 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Gil’s Folly 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Z Hub 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 The Dream Listener 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Mikey Boy 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Baptist Billy 20.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Short Story Long 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classic Dancer 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Embrace My Uncle 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Highly Flammable 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Yorkville 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 This Dude a Breeze 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Galvaston 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Cost Basis 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Danger 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Awesome Empire 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Spiritual Man 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Holiday Snooze 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gotme Good 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Last Ride 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 You and Me Baby 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Captivating Name 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Deputy Daddy 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Shinigami 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Runaway Maxi 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 One Smooth Stone 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Glintindaddyseye 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Arami’s Speighster 4.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Maldini 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shifty 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Nata Trouble 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 More Money Hunny 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Shade of Pale 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ready to Battle 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Periwinkle 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Really Thirsty 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magic Token 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Jimmy’s Affair 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Nikita’s Gem 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Just a Gem 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Miramichi 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Hymn to Her 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Miss Pierre 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Road to Versailles 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Pet Sounds 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Magic Slips 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Thefrontiersman 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Moddassah 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 I’manislandboy 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Secret Storm 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Wolf Beach 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Restoring Order 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Bingo’s Grind 20.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Sparklet 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.