Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Instant Vision |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ravenite |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Melittlefrostgirl |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
J J’s Honor |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mariah Kathryn |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Go Alice Go |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Casella |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Risky Day |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Zanduhoc |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lost and Confused |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mister Lincoln |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Action Hero |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sir Palace Prince |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trumpet Call |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Silver City Kitty |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kates Warriorheart |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seth’s War Song |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Go Chloe Go |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dropsugar |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hop for Helga |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Not a Dime Back |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Atrocious |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pastero |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Encrypt |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jackson’s Legacy |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arch Competitor |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
R Special |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Post It |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Amelie |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mia Counting |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Persuasive |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mistress Alana |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charlotte’s Potter |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tiz Donegal |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zoppi Fischbein |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Curlin Gunner |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hatmaker Gizmo |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Takemetothemoon |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wilkinson Warrior |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Earl of Dassel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Thirsty Pappy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Keithsendshelloooo |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Dude |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jewels in the Bay |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Batter Up Bud |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sal N Louie |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ahsad |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fenwick Jack |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Up Against It |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sophia’s Prince |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Man Woody |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Remarkable Mo |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Warrior’s Vow |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sleipnir |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crypt |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mystic Seaport |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carmelina |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Bon Bay |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foxy Junior |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beach Daze |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Confirmed Star |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chapa |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Solo in Paris |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Insisting |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amazing Woo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bad Advice |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bear Or Bull |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Supreme Mind |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Miracle Trip |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Checking Boxes |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hoppy Time |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Superness |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Birthday Bond Rob |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Badbadbobby |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Four Days Early |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.