Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 15, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Calling an Audible 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Giant At Work 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Houdini’s Bride 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Twirly 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Gabby’s Legacy 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Malibu’s Dynamite 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Immigration Law 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Into Amore 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Prides Crossing 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bells Beach 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Kiss Me Hardy 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Toned Up 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Gold Lightning 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tour Jete 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Snappin Buttons 8.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Call Her Bluff 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Bernt Again 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Gone and Forgotten 4.50 4.5 8-1
8 8 Racing Colors 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Embraceable Gal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Snowy Evening 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Fast and Frisky 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Being Betty 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Brocknardini 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mazayaat 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 High Note 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Snowyte 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Meursault 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Here’syourtrouble 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sheer Will 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Leslie’s Star 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Laser Sharp 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Heaven Street 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 2 Determinedly 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 10 Cold as Hell 1.60 1.8 3-1
11 12 Masterwork 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Isomarshall 50.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Hilarious Affair 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Maya Prince 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Fluid Situation 5.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Korrongo 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tap to Mischief 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 8 Into Diamonds 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blue Eyed Scout 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Cdakhat (IRE) 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Shaman Princess 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 City Blocks 5.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Just Words 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Eastern Star 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 No Factor 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bussia 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Political Spin 30.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Last Mango 10.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Bella Voce 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grace Reformed 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lika Rolling Stone 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Chasing Daylight 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Into Stardom 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Pretty Magical 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Amy’s Light 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Duckphat 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cuando 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Todo Men 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Discotheque 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Antisocial 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Benny The Waiter (IRE) 3.00 3 6-1
10 10 Henry’s Hope 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shadow Banking 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Make Me 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Nod to Tran 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Snare 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.