Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Where’s the Wine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Rules | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ask Amanda | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Pom Pom | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Balladry | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itsablingthing | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nanzig | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiftliketaylor | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Americathegreat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shez Twisted | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chiquita’s Way | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Color Comin’ In | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Amiga | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rather Late | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sycamore Shoals | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Something Stronger | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Debt Free | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boujee Beach | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Running Game | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Wants War | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party Pauline | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy McGee | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divine Wind | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forbidden Friend | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Claire’s Run | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Matter | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maerdama | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stage Presence | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Maclean’s Lullaby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spinning Glory | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intermittent Fast | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carolina Candy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Up the Creek | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Scorecard | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No What Ifs | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tennesseehoneybee | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Am Beautiful | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paved in Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Survivor | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocket Night | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baobab | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winning Song | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winegold | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kevin’s Strike | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ghost Prince | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strategist | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thracian | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pharoah’s Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liuzza | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | East Shore | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pens Street | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Story Hour | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiffany Twist | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bette Davis | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cora’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klimt’s Muse | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Figure | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Blue | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blackfoot Daisy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rojo Rita | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promisemeanempire | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unhidden Gem (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atomic City | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pondering | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cotillard | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Asset | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laurie’s Secret | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Obstreperous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Myiyla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | La Foret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bonne Fille | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Delta Tau Chi | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nyquist Frequency | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tapakena | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Coast | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show Master | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gallo de Fuego | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost in the Sauce | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Jackson | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ambridge | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nash Potatoes | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Electioneering | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Personal Jet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Weekend Reveille | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Helm Place | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.