Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trade Imbalance 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Broderick 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Accidental Bid 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 D Day Sky 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Golden Purchase 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Twirling Vine 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Macaw 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rungius 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Leading Contender 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Strapped 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Masqueparade 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cyber Ninja 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Catch a Wave 1.20 SCRATCH
5 5 The Ginger Wizard (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Atlast (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brzina 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Irish Jackson 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 It Takes Heart 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Killy Start 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Maggie T 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Spring Magic 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Equus 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Material Girl 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Farm House 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Eagle Rising 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Our Preferred Pal 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Full Pour 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Patience N Grace 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Jackpot Julie 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kunshan Bridge 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Brew Pub 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Tetsu 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Lost in Rome 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Thank You Jon 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Screaming Uncle 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Prince of Joy 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Scaramanga 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Can’t Fool Me 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Anileate 30.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Luna Moth 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mystifying 1.20 SCRATCH
2 2 Midnight Concerto 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Seat At the Table 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Three Priests (JPN) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Embraceable Gal 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mommasgottagun 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Valtellina 4.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Clover Street 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Racing Colors 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Fast and Frisky 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Brown Suga Babe 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tracking Error 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 On the Mount 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Ardagh Red (IRE) 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Jerry’s Out 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 A. P. Kid 1.60 SCRATCH
1A 10 Griffin’s Wharf 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pookie 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Steel Vengeance 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Into Diamonds 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hands of Time 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Stirred Up 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Katerina Ristova 15.00 4 7-1
3 3 Silver Pearls 2.50 5 10-1
2 2 Dangherecomesshang (IRE) 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Improbable Friend 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Aerialist 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Bengalese 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Purest Performance 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mun Mun Can Run 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tight Line 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnightloveaffair 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.