Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rockaway Reef | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scythia | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Honey | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Eyes | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Kelce | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Explosive Whisper | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theprincessfactor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Employeeofthemonth | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fourfiftyseven | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Had That One Too | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asian Matriarch | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladan | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Salsa | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tavria | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curls Nite Out | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Santos Dumont | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Outlaw | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eastside Cool | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzlemesilver | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miacomet | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlier | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Troillet | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Sunset | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sant’ Antimo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liam the Brave | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | W W Crazy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paynter’s Canvas | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improbable Story | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to Roll | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Synthesis | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Love Pack | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stradivarian | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flicker (GB) | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Farley Hall | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Enough | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Melody | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keeno | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Noah | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormin Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Right Spot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Top Gunner | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roll On Big Joe | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Otto the Conqueror | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tejano Twist | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Durante | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caramel Chip | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Luck | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Committee of One | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Chill | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle William | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Protege | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turn Up the Trees | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morunning | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Express Line | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Bruiser | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backtrack | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Captain | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | After Taxes (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Troubleshooting | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hit That Review (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Town Barber | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zartownis | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Sniper | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Trip | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Side Eye | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Warden | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stashu | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rowdy Riot | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mischief River | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seven Taylors | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helm Place | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Development Fee | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stormy Passage | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Caliente | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penei | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Jet | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Trace | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Article | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trojan Pride | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.