Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Favorite Bird 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Inordinary 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Street Player 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Valdero 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bowie 1.60 4.4 8-1
6 6 Vito’s Wildcat 1.80 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ralstonson 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reverend Moon 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sponge Time 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Yankee Drummer 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 4 This Cat Is Nappin 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Secret Bagent Man 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 He’s a Wild Child 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 What It Tiz 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Juan Mo Time 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Last Run 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Worldly Beauty 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Go Big Green 1.40 2.5 5-1
6 6 Kikilove 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Khosea 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Darling Darley 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Current Situation 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Band of Roses 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eastern Extension (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Live to Ride (GB) 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 National Secret 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Spit the Bit 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Deputy Tramon 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Double Eight 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Catalina Cree 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ortus 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Victory Dash 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Falfurrias 20.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Uncle John 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Battle of Dover 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 My Great Illusion 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Old Flag (IRE) 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Ready to Reign 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Charlie’s Beauty 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jayana 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Shiloh 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Siljim 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Our Fortune Cookie 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Saweetie Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bigbouquetofroses 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amor Y Control 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Fields of Green 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Fulminate 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Nana’s Corn Muffin 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bodacious Bren 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 David’s Rose 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Drakon 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tapit Three Times 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Salvattore Prince 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Clear Destination 1.80 4.7 9-1
2 2 Navy Cross 3.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Nerves of Steel 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Smart Striker 10.00 8 15-1
4 4 Swashbuckle 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tap Gold 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 And Uwish 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Red River Rebel 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Street Rod 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 El Apagon (CHI) 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 El Tinmarin 30.00 4 8-1
6 6 Sosua Summer 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 One Whirlwind Ride 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chaplin 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Power Attack 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.