Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Saxton 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Change My World 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Verifire 0.40 4.3 8-1
1 1 Straight to Water 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Artillery Gunnar 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Blo By’em 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 In the Chase 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Brazilian Girl 2.50 1 2-1
13 13 Souper Williwaw 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Abundant Love 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mopo 8.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Software 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Positive Carry (IRE) 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Loving Gaze (IRE) 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Protective Custody 15.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 More Acceleration 15.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Song Time 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Panama Canal 10.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Sutton Suzie 20.00 11.1 21-1
11 11 Beastorburden 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Point Dume 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Stronsino 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Feeling Woozy 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Cadet Corps 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Crossland 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Curlin’s Malibu 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Hay Chief 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Classic Joke 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Sagrada Ray 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Armando R 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Zip Line to Heaven 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Billionaires Row 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Incinerator 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bourbon Boss 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 War Humor 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Katie’s Notion 4.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Toolpusher 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Island d’Lite 5.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Claudee Boy 12.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Happy Jaunt 30.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Watch Out World 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ennis Town 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Firmantown 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Privman 1.20 5.3 10-1
3 3 Rhythm ‘n Blues 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Breezing Up 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Gung Ho 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Cadeau d’Argent 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Decorum 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Coast Along 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tidewater 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Barzini 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Fierce and Strong 4.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Linzer 8.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Retained 30.00 4 8-1
8 8 Where’s Ray 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Psychedelic Shack 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tall Order 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Beltane 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Noble Jon 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Had to Have Him 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stormy Flight 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Army Officer 2.00 1 2-1
11 11 Ocean City 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Blame the Tux 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Worthington 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Goodbye Note 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Sharp Tones 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Wow Whata Summer 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Curly Larry and Mo 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Understudy Kitty 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 St. John’s 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Deposition 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Candied 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Hebrides 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Peignoir 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Sea Dancer 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dazzling Move 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lemon Muffin 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Regaled 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Sudden Switch 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 White Rocks 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Play With Fire 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Complexity Jane 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pretty Lavish (IRE) 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Sigh No More (IRE) 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Me Governor 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Pure Majestic 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Obeissante 2.50 8.3 16-1
1 1 Princess Attitude 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Family 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stunner 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Echo Sound 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Volleyballprincess 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 High Paf 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 G W’s Girl 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Delray 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Mila Rose 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Hollygrove 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 You’ll Be Back 15.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Not Too Late 30.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Long Neck Paula 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Vodka With a Twist 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mendys Honey 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bosserati 4.50 1.3 2-1
13 13 Maggie’s Girl 20.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Loon Cry 1.80 2.6 5-1
14 14 Accomplished Girl 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Admiral Hopper 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Gift of Gab 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Shoshanah 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Moonlit Kiss 8.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Simply Stated 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Anaita 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Pinotslilgirl 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Pleasant Embrace 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Mudslide 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Star of Wonder 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Phileas Fogg 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Encino 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Red Route One 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Just Steel 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 San Siro 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Time for Trouble 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Awesome Aaron 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Cataleya Strike 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Pyrenees 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Margie’s Intention 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Amarth 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Princess Aliyah 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Reply 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Runnin N Gunnin 2.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Paris Lily 8.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Moon Cache 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Liam in the Dust 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Kinzie Queen 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mo Hype 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Roja 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Maerdama 1.80 1.4 3-1
7 7 Somnium 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Beyond Question 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Devilish One 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Veola 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Miss Outta My Way 10.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Town Light 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.