Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Houlihan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scary Boo | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Ocean | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powaqa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six for a Nine | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ecliptical Ladybug | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Visor | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Linda’s Opal | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tentomidnight | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zipfire | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scat Humor | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sultry Sophie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Be First | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Scarlet Tiara | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Purr Factor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Flag Flying | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Dancer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday With Amy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moral Turpitude | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That Girl Artemus | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mamba On Three | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Fury | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spite Store | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Society | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master Spy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Baby | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen Ash | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gizmo’s B F F | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foolish Games | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cefalo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pluie d’Avril | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Omelet | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ashcar Nellie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gabby Squared | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trip Aces | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rideau Hall | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Special Session | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nycely | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Fire | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watsonville Red | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She Makes a Point | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Painter | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saccharine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aspen Dawn | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swinging Mandy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voice From Above | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Black | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moet Monet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Hot Shot | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laughing Out Loud | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tatoosonmysoul | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaumont Drive | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Queenie | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thatsitthatsall | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit O’Tipperary | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.