Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 That’s Funny 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chocolatechocolate 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Lumenique 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Goodys Girl 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Circuit Court 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 My Daughters’ Gift 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Have a Happy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Active Duty 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Six Kings 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Patrolman 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Provision 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Because the Night 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Big Rich 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Eric From Miami 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Iron Man Ira 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dear Moon 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Happy’s Smile 15.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Munnings Express 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Cloudy Chance 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 You Know Better 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 Miss Im Pulsive 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Carmen Mathews 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dolomite 2.00 1 2-1
1A 7 Save Us Melania 1.80 2.9 5-1
2 1 Artemis Sound 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 8 My Two Sophia’s 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Proud Foot 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 9 Kadena 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Centre Court Champ 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Will Be Famous 8.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Sarir 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Julita 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 St. Addie 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Professor Grace 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Tizn’t Anymore 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Widdershins 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Artistic Success 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Stormy Disco 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gallipoli Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Argentiera 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Observer 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Endless Vow 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Summit Ridge 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Hop Sing 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Duration 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Grand Cash 15.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Makes Sense 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Time Passes 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Stars and Stripes 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Indy Rags 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ponant 4.50 1 2-1
5 4 Debt Limit (FR) 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 2 Brigade Commander 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Register 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Kid Kreesa 15.00 4 8-1
8 7 Barnstorming 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Desperate Proposal 10.00 5 10-1
4 3 Brave Bear 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Basic Truth 50.00 8.7 16-1
1A 11 Via Della Spiga 4.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Blown Cover 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miztertonic 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Master Freud 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Mr Flowers 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Willintoriskitall 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Escondido 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Modica 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Omey Island 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Outtawaterbury 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Always Be Smart 12.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Hero’s Medal 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Flat On 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jhirsch 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crimson Light 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 My Last Mission 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Mighty Atlas 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Elysian Meadows 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lotsa Trouble 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Whittington Park 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Buttah 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Dr. Kraft 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Red Burgundy 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 She’s Our Tiz 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Grace and Grit 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sail With the Wind 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Intentious 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Trail of Gold 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Walk With Me 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Aunt Yola 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 National Archive 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Cara’s Dreamweaver 15.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Purpose 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Poseidon’s Mist 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Princess Mischief 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Good Mission 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Inflammabelle 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Going for Glory 15.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Work Away 2.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Moontown 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Fifi La Fume 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Saipan 10.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Lucy Playa 10.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Otherpeoplesmoney 10.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Accelerated News 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Princess Summer 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Moonlight Ready 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gattatiz 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.