Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daisy’s Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Do Da Day | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missy’s Map | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Analog | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Creed | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nanisca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lino and Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Step Lightly | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afterneath | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Mayhem | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlize Chub | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stella d’Amore | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alyvia Mavis | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Match Five | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brightness | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fontabelle | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thousand Story’s | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clementine Hunter | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemoning | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ramiel | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s My Chew | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Stott | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roll On Jesse | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelve Treasures | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Big Un | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Watch Your Tone | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miti Fast Flower | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beachgrass | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Heart | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Jo Jo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Namora | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louella Street | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | English Daddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guaio | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Severn Run | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Red Eagle | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Words of Fortune | 1.80 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just for the Money | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baltasar | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Undalay | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Music | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mean Tweets | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Devil | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghost Stalker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kaladin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Half a League | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Grand | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Wanna Rock | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brushback | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Phenom | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chase a Dream | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.