Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Exploration |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Augusta Melody |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Circle P |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Band Camp |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Radical Right |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freeze the Fire |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Top Blood |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sheriff Ronnie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Drop the Hammer |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Paradise Wins |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fivecommatwo |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Betula (GB) |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Be Inspired |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Ellary |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kobe’s Smile |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swan House |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Amazing Mizzen |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Majesty’s Freedom |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honor Cat |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Last Man Standing |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Varney |
1.20 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Energize |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Task Force |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drill Baby |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tell ‘Em I’m Comin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Kitty’s Son |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maryland Sprint S.) – Maryland Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Booth |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Epic Ride |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Celtic Contender |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
S S Sinatra |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Concrete Glory |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ninetyprcentmaddie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Prince of Jericho |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Glean |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mischief Maxey |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Noquestionaboutit |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
River Seine (IRE) |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wise and Elegant |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Somethingwonderful |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sally’s Gold |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lilly Simone |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Watch Me Disappear |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Preparefortakeoff |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Parola Sicura |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Come to Mama |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
My Girl Ginger |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Skipat S.) – Skipat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Zeitlos |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
One Magic Philly |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Striker Has Dial |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Apple Picker |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Disco Ebo |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Happy Clouds |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Admiral Hopper |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gallorette S.) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Queen of the Mud (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Way to Be Marie |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charlene’s Dream |
20.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Three Havanas (GER) |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sparkle Blue |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ocean Club |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Austere |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dana’s Beauty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Conquest Dancer |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Chick Lang S.) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Faster Gator |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
One Nine Hundred |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Touchy |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ancient World |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Retribution |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slam Notion |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Normandy Coast |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Keep It Easy |
4.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiny Lake |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Force |
4.50 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chipotle |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Determined Kingdom |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honeyquist |
30.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coppola |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fore Harp |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Nay Hudson (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Witty |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mattingly |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boat’s a Rockin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Duncan Idaho |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Spendthrift Farm Sir Barton S.) – Spendthrift Farm Sir Barton S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bear Claw Necklace |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Invictus |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crudo |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Just a Fair Shake |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bestfriend Rocket |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Authentic Gallop |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bold Diversion |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hymn |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Bogan |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (James W. Murphy S.) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Reagan’s Wit |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Curahee |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stormy Flight |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Barbadian Runner |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Studlydoright |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Soleil Volant |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twain |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clock Tower |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mission Artemis |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
End of Romance (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Dinner Party S.) – Dinner Party S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Trikari |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abrumar |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cash Equity (FR) |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fort Washington |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Balnikhov (IRE) |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Divin Propos (FR) |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Crystal Quest |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neat |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crabs N Beer |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Desvio |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Signator |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Irish Aces |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fulmineo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Preakness S.) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Journalism |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
River Thames |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clever Again |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sandman |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goal Oriented |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heart of Honor (GB) |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
American Promise |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gosger |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pay Billy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Uae President Cup S.) – Uae President Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
DIAMOND GEM AA |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
RB GRAND SLAM |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
WMA SMOKE SIGNAL |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
AA TAKE A CHANCE |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
LIKE MOULIN ROUGE |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
TM PURNCESS |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
WMA BIG BABY |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
QUICK RAE AA |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
RB MOTHERLOAD |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.