Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Exploration 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Augusta Melody 1.80 1.5 3-1
8 8 Circle P 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Band Camp 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Radical Right 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Freeze the Fire 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Top Blood 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Sheriff Ronnie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Drop the Hammer 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Paradise Wins 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Fivecommatwo 20.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Betula (GB) 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Be Inspired 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Miss Ellary 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Kobe’s Smile 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Swan House 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 The Amazing Mizzen 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Majesty’s Freedom 30.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Honor Cat 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Last Man Standing 1.50 1 2-1
3 3 Varney 1.20 1.9 4-1
4 4 Energize 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Task Force 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Drill Baby 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Tell ‘Em I’m Comin 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kitty’s Son 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maryland Sprint S.) – Maryland Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Booth 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Epic Ride 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Celtic Contender 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 S S Sinatra 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Concrete Glory 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ninetyprcentmaddie 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Prince of Jericho 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Glean 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mischief Maxey 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Noquestionaboutit 8.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 River Seine (IRE) 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Wise and Elegant 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Somethingwonderful 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Sally’s Gold 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Lilly Simone 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Watch Me Disappear 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Preparefortakeoff 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Parola Sicura 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Come to Mama 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 My Girl Ginger 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Skipat S.) – Skipat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zeitlos 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 One Magic Philly 1.80 1.2 2-1
7 7 Striker Has Dial 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Apple Picker 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Disco Ebo 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Happy Clouds 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Admiral Hopper 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Gallorette S.) – Gallorette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Queen of the Mud (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Way to Be Marie 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Charlene’s Dream 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Three Havanas (GER) 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Sparkle Blue 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ocean Club 15.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Austere 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dana’s Beauty 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Conquest Dancer 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Chick Lang S.) – Chick Lang S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Faster Gator 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 One Nine Hundred 3.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Touchy 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Ancient World 6.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Retribution 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Slam Notion 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Normandy Coast 12.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Keep It Easy 4.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Tiny Lake 30.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Perfect Force 4.50 9.6 18-1
2 2 Chipotle 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Determined Kingdom 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Honeyquist 30.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Coppola 2.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Fore Harp 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Witty 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Mattingly 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Boat’s a Rockin 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Duncan Idaho 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Spendthrift Farm Sir Barton S.) – Spendthrift Farm Sir Barton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bear Claw Necklace 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Invictus 1.80 1.3 2-1
1 1 Crudo 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Just a Fair Shake 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bestfriend Rocket 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Authentic Gallop 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bold Diversion 30.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Hymn 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mr. Bogan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (James W. Murphy S.) – James W. Murphy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Reagan’s Wit 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Curahee 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Stormy Flight 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Barbadian Runner 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Studlydoright 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Soleil Volant 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Twain 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Clock Tower 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mission Artemis 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 End of Romance (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Dinner Party S.) – Dinner Party S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Trikari 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Abrumar 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Cash Equity (FR) 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Fort Washington 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Balnikhov (IRE) 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Divin Propos (FR) 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Crystal Quest 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Neat 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Crabs N Beer 30.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Desvio 30.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Signator 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Irish Aces 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fulmineo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Preakness S.) – Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Journalism 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 River Thames 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Clever Again 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sandman 4.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Goal Oriented 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Heart of Honor (GB) 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 American Promise 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Gosger 20.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Pay Billy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Uae President Cup S.) – Uae President Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 DIAMOND GEM AA 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 RB GRAND SLAM 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 WMA SMOKE SIGNAL 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 AA TAKE A CHANCE 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 LIKE MOULIN ROUGE 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 TM PURNCESS 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 WMA BIG BABY 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 QUICK RAE AA 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 RB MOTHERLOAD 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.