Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sassy Shenanigans |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vehemente |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Catchphrase |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dangerous Affair |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Splashy |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Princess Mischief |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thirteen Red Flags |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Class Cat |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Jake Rocks |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blake B. |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Best Bet |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Return the Ring |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beachwalker |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gun Maestro |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dads Good Runner |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
4 |
Margin of Air |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2B |
5 |
Tabeguache |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
6 |
Chelonian |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
1 |
Legal Deal |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1A |
8 |
Quiet Wisdom |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
7 |
Gun It |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
2 |
Concorde Spirit |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
9 |
Royal Tryst |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Love Me Not |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
On the Ledge |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neural Network |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Slip Mahoney |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scheduling Dude |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Macron |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stolen Base |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Duke of Gloucester |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Confession |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Competitive Threat (IRE) |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dandy Vandy (FR) |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yolo |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Day Away |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Cara |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Kestrel |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Addressable Market (IRE) |
50.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sailaway |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wake Up Lauren |
30.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Gunner |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ocean Rain |
15.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Itza Kitty |
30.00 |
12.7 |
24-1 |
14 |
14 |
My Gorgeous |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Ragtime Sizzle |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Paraiba Blue |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Lady McSparkles |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
9 |
De La Cruz |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Van Ginkel |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
A Bourbon for Toby |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Tiz Fervor |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
12 |
11 |
Wonderfinn |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Mayor of Midnight (IRE) |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gun Barrel City |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
8 |
Royal’s Pride (GB) |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
8 |
7 |
The Hero Code |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
2 |
Adventurist |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
5 |
4 |
Good as He Gets |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
15 |
Bad Boy Butch |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
12 |
Cooper |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
14 |
Bright Angel (IRE) |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
13 |
Extraordinary One (GB) |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Attorney Wade |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ball Don’t Lie |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Runandscore |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncle George |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swift Magic |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prince of Truth |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ducky Medwick |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smilensaycheese |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
11 |
Rhetorical |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Leo’s Reward |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
13 |
Fidelightcayut |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Calling Card |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sky Masterson |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Calvin’s Ride |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Alan Turing |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
11 |
10 |
Mo Kreesa |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
10 |
9 |
Charles J |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
6 |
Solo Empire |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
3 |
2 |
A Lister |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
9 |
8 |
Landauer |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
14 |
98 |
Kingdom On Paws |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
14 |
Incantation |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
12 |
El de Larry |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
15 |
Corvus |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Battle Drum (FR) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
9 |
Sounds Like Fun |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
8 |
Suspiciously Named |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Stanley Cat |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Standpoint |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Aerate |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Prairie Dunes |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
10 |
Ready Set Twirl |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
3 |
Seeker’s Hope |
12.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tapstick |
8.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
1A |
14 |
Dark Devil |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tomorrow’s Wish |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Razorcat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
16 |
Barb |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1X |
15 |
Cada Dia Mejor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Honorary American (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.