Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 18, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sassy Shenanigans 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vehemente 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Catchphrase 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dangerous Affair 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Splashy 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Princess Mischief 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Thirteen Red Flags 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 First Class Cat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jake Rocks 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Blake B. 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Best Bet 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Return the Ring 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Beachwalker 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Gun Maestro 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Dads Good Runner 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 4 Margin of Air 2.00 1 2-1
2B 5 Tabeguache 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 6 Chelonian 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 1 Legal Deal 4.00 1.7 3-1
1A 8 Quiet Wisdom 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 7 Gun It 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 2 Concorde Spirit 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 9 Royal Tryst 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Love Me Not 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 On the Ledge 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Neural Network 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Slip Mahoney 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Scheduling Dude 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Macron 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Stolen Base 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Duke of Gloucester 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 No Confession 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Competitive Threat (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Dandy Vandy (FR) 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Yolo 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Day Away 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Classic Cara 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 American Kestrel 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Addressable Market (IRE) 50.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Sailaway 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Wake Up Lauren 30.00 8.7 17-1
5 5 Lady Gunner 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Ocean Rain 15.00 11.1 21-1
8 8 Itza Kitty 30.00 12.7 24-1
14 14 My Gorgeous 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ragtime Sizzle 1.40 SCRATCH
13 13 Paraiba Blue 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lady McSparkles 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 De La Cruz 6.00 1 2-1
4 3 Van Ginkel 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 A Bourbon for Toby 20.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Tiz Fervor 6.00 4.2 8-1
12 11 Wonderfinn 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Mayor of Midnight (IRE) 6.00 7.6 14-1
2 1 Gun Barrel City 3.50 8 15-1
9 8 Royal’s Pride (GB) 8.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 The Hero Code 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 2 Adventurist 15.00 9.3 18-1
5 4 Good as He Gets 8.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Bad Boy Butch 8.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Cooper 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Bright Angel (IRE) 50.00 SCRATCH
1 13 Extraordinary One (GB) 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Attorney Wade 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ball Don’t Lie 1.60 1.2 2-1
8 8 Runandscore 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Uncle George 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Swift Magic 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Prince of Truth 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Ducky Medwick 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Smilensaycheese 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Rhetorical 1.20 1 2-1
4 3 Leo’s Reward 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 13 Fidelightcayut 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Calling Card 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Sky Masterson 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Calvin’s Ride 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Alan Turing 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 Mo Kreesa 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 9 Charles J 8.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Solo Empire 30.00 8.4 16-1
3 2 A Lister 30.00 9.2 17-1
9 8 Landauer 20.00 9.8 18-1
14 98 Kingdom On Paws 0.00 SCRATCH
15 14 Incantation 10.00 SCRATCH
13 12 El de Larry 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Corvus 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Battle Drum (FR) 2.00 1 2-1
10 9 Sounds Like Fun 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 8 Suspiciously Named 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Stanley Cat 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Standpoint 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Aerate 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Prairie Dunes 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 10 Ready Set Twirl 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Seeker’s Hope 12.00 9.4 18-1
6 5 Tapstick 8.00 11.8 22-1
1A 14 Dark Devil 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tomorrow’s Wish 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Razorcat 8.00 SCRATCH
14 16 Barb 3.00 SCRATCH
1X 15 Cada Dia Mejor 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Honorary American (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.