Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ethereal Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Slang | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodlum | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Moon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Yo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Paper | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fifth of May | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Royalty | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tip Tap | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sexy Blonde | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Dame | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sib | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Judy’s Flyer | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malice Mama | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Salty | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Breeze | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Winters Lion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dai Vernon | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Realignment | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Dispatch | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Hope | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neon Nights | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kigali | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Hat Willie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Hush This | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Time | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swift as I Am | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunner Bay | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hocus | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sinner’s Sin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Systemic Change | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilmore | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keen Cat | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Law | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shipman | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Some Mo | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greers Ferry | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eddie M | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gardiner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Complex Music | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shan | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gettinby | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hair Sam | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Megastar | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Putting Eagle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Charbonnay | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sultry Lass | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Switch | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amber Cascade | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ayra Stark (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impel | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Label | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Windy Walk | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ba Dee Yah | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Boy Tony | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tickled Quist | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Presider | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Askari | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mount Rundle | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Thomas | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warning Signs | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thick as Thieves | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steadfast Resolve | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valiant Humor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bob’s Carrot | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Hale | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evan On Earth | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preposition | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Ship Hooray | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reaction | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Taylor’s Version | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shallus | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nu What’s New | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Water | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Lagoon | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | White Whale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Studeny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fly Guy Mick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Vex | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.