Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caseys Memory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Fantasy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Diamond | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Louie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Leaves | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Happy Strike | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sensical | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Days Later | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dinner At Crumpies | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Husker Butch | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Kiss | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Karaoke | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Mack | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Butch | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sushi Man | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mickswagger | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Covert Quality | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wagon Power | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Partyinthestreets | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brinson | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of the Panthor | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wristband | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stunning Bruno | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Auto Dial | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Greek | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trafalgar’s Hero | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joewilly | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Probability | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Buddy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Tater | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Esteve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sincerely Mine | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Specialsortastorm | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Razor Wire | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redneckerthanyou | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iowa Club | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddy J | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justa Streak | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Go the Distance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Gary | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivzonaroll | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt Forty Five | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Ronnie | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steel Link | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Ice Man | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Bryan | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Late for Lunch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.