Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Citori | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gretna Green | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saucy Name | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reload Eh | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aint No Girly Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maryland Spirit | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kimberlina | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kozy Babe | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Over Egbert | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Today | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Future | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Told It All | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Avro | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banker’s Hours | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sammy Stone | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jay Bird | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncaptured Moment | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Computer Hacker | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Alliance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ontario Holiday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Woodsman | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coherence | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sehr Schoen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back River | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Panyard Tap | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benlion | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Row | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Play | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flirting With Fire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wagner | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Humber River | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Living | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Bruce | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiernan | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Kart Mozart | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roar of the Crowd | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You’re So Lucky | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Motor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clearwater Beach | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Holiday | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Demanding | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Biles (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Princess Jade | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Iona | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ca Bam | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Holiday | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Red | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Florida Vacation | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | This Is Gloria | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Pray | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mobula | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crumlin Fashion | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Suigu Belle | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s So Croatian | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Belva | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Butterfly Billie | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheat the Devil | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Foresters Exec | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Little Alexa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Teddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light the Lamp | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Its Time to Shine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Life | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poseidon Steel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Dormy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kokomo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (King Corrie S.) – King Corrie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Church and State | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graffiti Writer | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Obey | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thundering | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incoming | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hibiscus | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arabian Prince | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Junior Hot Shot | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Lad | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Options | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Tea Party | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mason’s Gamble | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Society’s Thunder | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Bourbon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bachelor Pad | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Pond | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valyrian Sky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Two Aunt Joans | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valley Victory | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ask in My Name | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forester Humor | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thenorthremembers | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mannix (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Sea | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bet N Win | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Success | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.