Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Short Story Long | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blackhillsherriff | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Dream Listener | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halcon Negro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hard Reload | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its Just Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Sussex | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celentano | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Iconic | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harper City | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Star | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Alexa | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Serious Green | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twisting Pistons | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Her Obsession | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sil’s Gamble | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinful Forester | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tivali | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scored | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Out the Vote | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigiriya | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rookie Court | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thatsitthatsall | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inittowinit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tabloid Material | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victoria Elizabeth | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vandoo | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looks Lucky to Me | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Butterfly | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Cop | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Tenacious | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hemlo Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Drive | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C C’s Kingdom | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chancel | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swan Lake | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confusing | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Knight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dissectologist | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Quality | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gendragon | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adelaide Court | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Hudson | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sneakers | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ry Pie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.