Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Seraphine |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Contorted |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shewontbudge |
3.50 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joyous Song |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cyawouldntwanabeya |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Speed Shopper |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not This Gal |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Field Song |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Autumn Chill |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tonalite |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Readytoriskitall |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Martingale |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wild Acclaim |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cheyenne Moon |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
What If |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fasta Lavista Baby |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sinister Smile |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Homer’s Odyssey |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Master Controller |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Studeny |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Steel Venom |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vex |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Esh |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Game Runner |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
These Apples |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Off Ramp |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Edistrudis |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Demi |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sassy and Bold |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Greek Heiress |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frango Electrico |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Abitibi |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Never Sway |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
One Timer |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nobals |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shards |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clear the Air |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Double Clutch |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chiseler |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Purple and Gold |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stage Presence |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Foolish Front Fifi |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Select |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Buckeye Bombshell |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sarriette |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sunset Lines |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Timbo’s Mischief |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Didn’t It Rain |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Modo |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unwavering Trust |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
May Mischief |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stable Currency |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Praying |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Kathryn |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coaster |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reputation |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wisconsin Gal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Adogate |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ervadean |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Titled Lady |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lotsandlotsofcandy |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twirl Around |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marmalade Skye |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Miss Enchanted |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aunt Becca |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sing a Little Song |
20.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Punchy Girl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Tripolina |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Keertana S.) – Keertana S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Marksman Queen (GB) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Strikingly Spun |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreaming of Mo |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boss Lady Bailey |
4.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugaree (IRE) |
4.50 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tarneema |
3.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dazzlin’ Dictator |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Holy Foley |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Duke of Duval |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Thirteen G’s |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fact |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sports Hero |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Il Cavallino |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Steeze |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Maxima |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bourbon Flight |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cannon |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Money Man |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wartank |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Playa Del Mar |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.