Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Berea | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Measureofdevotion | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie Flash | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Gem | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fit and Famous | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Get the Lead Out | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Museum Quality | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Thunder | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Code One | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Sooner | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Better Edge | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time to Sing | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quietline | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helado | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cash’s Pal | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General Pickett | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Multifactor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kirby Kaye | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cankton’s Cowgirl | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shabam | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Racer | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Connection | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Niki | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raymond | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captivated Drama | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Circle Back Jack | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drifter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Concept | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glengarry | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seventeen Black | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wearacap | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Luke | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dawson’s Storm | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warren L | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Last Chance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Skip the Line | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brahms Image | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Ridge | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Succession | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Ransom | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parkway | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seahorse Stampede | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holding Pattern | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.