Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ridegold |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stubborn |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Less Is More |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Winter Snow |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dertien |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
French Moonlight |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
California Rocks |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
We the Hobby |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Liberation |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shady Stripes |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Still Unwritten |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Victoria |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bella Chavela |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smiling Carmen |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
That Ain’t Right |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love of the Nile |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Aguila Azul |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Final Table Lady |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Can You Dream |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Odies Memory Lane |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
O K Rose |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hello Kid O Kid O |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wild Cat Danzing |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tis Sunrise |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silver Flirt |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Religiously |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
G’oro |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Thor’s Echo S.) – Thor’s Echo S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Private Gem |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Book Smart |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Final Storm |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Geezer |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tapatio Leo |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spiritual Advisor |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
I’m a Bad Boy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Silver N Black |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jennys Tiz |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir Nano |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Toppers Wager |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Naval Harbor |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
They’renotlikeus |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Betterbelucky |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dontgetfooledagain |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Fran’s Valentine S.) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sneaker |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prancingthruparis |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shocking Grey |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blevys Tiger |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ashleys Sandcastle |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cornelia Fort |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quantum Innergy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Melair S.) – Melair S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fibonaccis Ride |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
In the Air Tonight |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Mendelssohn |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Going Deep |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sunset Grazen |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Om N Joy |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miso Phansy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Crystal Water S.) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kings River Knight |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coalinga Road |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stamp My Passport |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clouseau |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Takes Three |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barely Funtional |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Freeport Joe |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lady Gregory |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Theresasilverlinin |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Clubhouse Bride |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thirsty Trickster |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eltonsingsanother |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Cap |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Petit Filet |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chasing Kat |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharp Ride |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank) – Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cali Cat |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bro Bro |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Style Cat |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Western Freedom |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drop Um |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Got Soul |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prince of Del Mar |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Santa Barbarian |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.