Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lavender Disaster | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Rouge | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collaboration | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mottley | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pookie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’mhavingamoment | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best Impression | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sarir | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Unreasonable (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shesalittle Edgy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talkin in Cursive | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maggie T | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldcrest | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collect Dattt | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trade Secret | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shezanarcticqueen | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie the Joker | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sand Devil | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Top Thomas | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Mitole | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toga d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey Muscles | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Griffin’s Wharf | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turn and Count | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bella Voce | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Open Soul Autism | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet’s Dream | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dat Dares Right | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Weekend | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margaux Treasure | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Te Amo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss American Pie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Big Ego | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magni | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorzo | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daytona Moonshine | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makeyourmoment | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viking Warrior | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancinginthepark | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joevia’s First | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Martini | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | State of Readiness | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Intellectual | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Danziger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Toga Dan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fresh Start | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Forever to Go | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Mischief | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Disco | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Accelerated News | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sunshine Lily | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Mega Changer | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silsbee | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Garden of Grace | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Graceful Warrior | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fiery | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ultra Cameo | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Last of My Kind | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Purest Performance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Jalimar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Flying | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Tide | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prove Worthy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winter’s Ghost | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Joker | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suerte | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundaeswithsandy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Larry | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Seeker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Browne | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kick a Buck | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Express | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Barnstorming | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outtawaterbury | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gotta Guy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazzei | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Grant | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rohan | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Your Mission | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broderick | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Freud | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Hero’s Medal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Flat On | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Primed to Go | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | McDiesel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Patronage | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dakota Country | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Max | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap It Easy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Oath of Omerta | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Tone | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powered by Coal | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monomoys Partner | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | G Five | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragazzo d’Oro | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Pill | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Naguile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Arch’s Assault | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alzero | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.