Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Posh Playday | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Princess Says | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adiva | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caltha | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Phoenix | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outrageously | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hootdatlady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woodall Pass | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ashkenazi | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Tinker Elle | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cinnamon Sugar | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elite Miss | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nonstop Vino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Diablo Shiraz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pike Place | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Glider | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inexorable | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucency | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Best | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laughing Boy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Protonic Power | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Manta Rey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Espionage | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowan | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Busk | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juilliard | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Yes I’m a Beast | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Metallic Man | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slippin Jimmy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speitful Sam | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Lead | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Imperial Ruler | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kensington Cove | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outdoor Cat | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All the Luck | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nico’s Derby Run | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Me Now | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soco and Lime | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Gunner | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atomic Snow | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Gotham | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wildfire Princess | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Game | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oak Alley | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldenageactress | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Athaliah | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maple Syrup | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caviar Breakfast | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Mackenzie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grove City Sunset | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crawford | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Play With Magic | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kimber Spice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sun Lightning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Pharaoh | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Theravada | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rivalry | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Xander | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sutherland | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiverton (GB) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Partyvicious | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redfield | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One for My Brother | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Criminal Defense | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amor Patriae | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Furio | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thrilla | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mississippi Man | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shepherd | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U Devil You | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jack’s Promise | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missed the Turn | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | C K Wonder | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nicholai | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper Moon | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tut’s Revenge | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santorini | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Process | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yamato | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nantasket Beach | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liar’s Poker | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean Pointe | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aspenite | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alder | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archie the Giza | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flash Wear | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Next Up | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manage Xpectations | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amadora’s Empire | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zaghruta | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itwillbefun | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Ny | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Omaha | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mizmalice | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aviso | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talent Show | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.