Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Doublecheck | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bureaucratic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gem Collection | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go for It | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passing Time | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Santa Cruiser | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock City Rocket | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Klink | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Ride | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neoking | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Irish Lad | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Move It Mary | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karson Kay | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Principal Anita | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C’S Lilly Dancer | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master Jane | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Fine Aquiline | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jada | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creme de Cassis | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Satadanite Special | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luckie Goldie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Native Queen | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Jeanie Cheri | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knight Commander | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Say It Nicely | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ships On Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Wednesday | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Invasion | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Blarney | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Boy Blue | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strike Ridge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gatlinburg | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Flat | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Again | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Sweets | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Holiday | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commander Rex | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dawn Strategy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jon’s Street Band | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romans Word | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cavanal | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Rock | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruling the Roost | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salt Daddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.