Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Foresters Exec | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arctic Blonde | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Trouble | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Rider | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love You Lippy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Su Legado Vive | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Called Vacation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adapted | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calling Home | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stratus | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Thoughts | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Punkin Boy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Road to Versailles | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glasweigian | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doadster | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Ronin | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Sousi | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Court | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Last American Exit | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Break the Spell | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pine Knoll | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Dancer | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enchant Me | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Next Pitch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lumberyard | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Most Likely | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bob and Jules | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Power | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Has Diamonds | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diomedes | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Cohete | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kekoa | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Screen | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gilt Edge | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Red Domi | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Threat | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Crusader | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cooler Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Souper | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orion Beach | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North York | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Pretty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scat Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reveler’s Row | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Boujee | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girl’s Nite Out | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flaunt | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handsintheair | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Ambition | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vintage Ring | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Earendel | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Complex | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xarabella | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Innisfree Isle | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Sunset | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frac Dancer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Crime | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Score | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rat Portage | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigiloso | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Grey | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roi Soleil | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flashinthesky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent and Sinful | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Classica | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midsummer Mo | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Magnificent | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Anastasia | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Canadian Apple | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Mission | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap My Desire | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.